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Recently Written Posts: Peter Scully PhD

On Estimating Thailand’s COVID-19 Infections and Infection Fatality Ratio (IFR)

This post records the method used to create an estimate for Thailand’s Infected Cases nationally and by province, by using the IFR metric, quantities of deaths in Thailand, combined with known provincial demographics to estimate Thailand’s (unreleased) COVID-19 related death ages. Infected Cases differ from actual Recorded Cases in that they offer a view on whether more cases (i.e. asymptomatic) are likely to be found. This work was sparked by Matt Greenfield and Dylan Jay’s discussion. Obviously, there’s too much to fit in a tweet.

In the article, we go through (1) how readers can directly calculate their own estimates for Number of Infected Cases from our data, followed by (2) method taken to reach the results, then (3) discussion, limitation and conclusions. There are plenty of caveats described in this article, so take a look at these before drawing conclusions.

Road Network – Agent Modelling

A quick blog update to play with a neat agent simulation tool integrated into OpenStreetMap mapping tools with vehicle driver behaviour modeling. SMARTS – Scalable Microscopic Adaptive Road Traffic Simulator (University of Melbourne)

Extension of Python Dict .get() – Lookup with Similarity for Built-in Libraries

This is a prospective extension to Python dict .get() that solves a common problem in data applications. The bold proposal asks whether to include such an implementation in the core language or in a library, across languages used for data processing. See what you think.. Background & Why? These days we have more data-oriented code […]

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Pete Scully PhD (UK)

Find my work on Research, Technology & Science... Past highlights include @PyCon, Data Science @Lexr.AI, Agri-Tech @MSU-TH, 3D Reconstruction Light Stages for Plants (Phenotypic/Genomic Mappings) @AU @NPPC-UK, Cybernetics, Social Science + Behavioural Research + Grant Writing @MU-TH, Model Explainability, IoT Apps for Zombies, Self-Healing AI + Cyber Security @Airbus, COVID-19 Thailand's Provincial Public Data Analysis, PlayfulCoding.EU, Training SW Engineers @MorganStanley, Commercial Projects + Start-ups. To discuss or work together, I'm on email: pmdscully-at-gmail-com.

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Peter M D Scully PhD Researcher
Biologically Inspired Cyber Security
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